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BUSN 3031 DERIVATIVES AND RISK MANAGEMENT FINAL ASSIGNMENT

GENERAL REQUIREMENTS

  1. Provide a cover sheet with the details of your name or the group members (names and IDs)
  2. Save the assignment using your last names in a PDF file
  3. Font size: 11 or 12. Length: approximately 2500 words
  4. Submit the assignment on FLO through the assignment drop box.
  5. Use the Harvard system (Author, Date) for your references.
  6. Any assignment received after the due date will be dealt with as outlined in the Policy on Late Submission in the Topic Guide.
  7. Failure to submit the assignment for this topic is deemed to constitute failure to meet the assessment requirements for the purposes of eligibility for a supplementary assessment on academic grounds (see Topic Guide).
  8. Plagiarism and other forms of academic dishonesty are treated as serious offences by the University and are subject to penalties, which may include expulsion. Ensure that you have read and understood the University’s policy on academic dishonesty, as contained in the Topic Guide and the Student Related Policies and Procedures Manual.

QUESTIONS

As you wake up on the morning of Tuesday 21st April and prepare for your second day of work in your new position as the Deputy Risk Manager for Virgin Oz, you watch breakfast TV.  You hear the headlines that for the first time in history oil has plunged below zero as demand collapses and that May oil futures have turned negative at minus $US37.63 (AUD $59.37). It was at roughly $US60 earlier in the year when your boss took out a number of derivative contracts.  Working for an airline which uses a lot of derivative products you think that your boss is in for a bad day.

When you arrive at work you discover that your boss has quit amid rumours of sizeable losses on hedges that he has undertaken which, on top of numerous travel bans, could bankrupt the company and that the Board of Directors want to see you immediately.  Suddenly you realize that it is you that is going to have the bad day.

The Board of Directors turn to you as the deputy risk manager and want you to carry out a full review of all the derivative contracts that your boss has entered into so that they can determine the company’s exposure.

When you start your investigations, you discover that your former boss has attempted to hedge the company’s position using futures, forward and swaps.

You are required to:

  1. Use Refinitiv or similar to ascertain the likely number of derivative contracts that your former boss has entered into, by researching airlines to come up with a credible mix.

(10 marks)

  1. Check that the principles of forward and futures pricing has been correctly applied to the value of contracts that your former boss entered into to ensure the integrity of these transactions. He did quit suddenly after all.

(10 marks)

  1. Determine the strategy that your boss has attempted to achieve in his hedging actions. Have appropriate contracts been entered into?

(10 marks)

  1. Ascertain the likely profit/losses to date on the contracts.

(10 marks)

  1. Determine a new options strategy to maximize Virgin Oz’s position.

(10 marks)

  1. Write a report for the board of directors, setting out the results of your investigations, conclusions and recommendations. Please bear in mind that many members of the board of directors are non-financial managers so you will need to explain what derivatives are, as well as to define and state what type of derivatives the airline is a counterparty to. Then add your writeup from parts a) to e) above

(30 marks)

  1. When this is completed produce an executive summary.

(10 marks)

  1. Bibliography

(5 marks)

  1. Appendix Research workings

(5 marks)

Expert's Answer

The risk management team of Virgin Australia manages the market risk which is the risk when there is a change in fuel prices, foreign exchange rates or interest rates. These changes impact the profit and cash flows of the company. Virgin Australia enters into the derivatives contracts in order to mitigate the risks of changes in fuel prices, foreign exchange rates, or interest rates. Derivatives used to be recognized at fair value, both initially and then on-going basis. There are two derivatives contracts which the Risk manager would have made that are forward exchange contracts which are price hedging related to debt instruments and fuel hedging contracts where the airline tries to hedge form the sudden or significant increase in the prices of fuel (Anon., 2019).

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